Shell Game: What Shell Gets Wrong in Its New Climate Report Greg Muttitt, March 28, 2018
On Monday, Shell released a new report describing how the world might achieve the Paris goals. The report described a scenario called “Sky,” painting a picture of a possible future.
It’s a future full of fossil fuels: in 2050, it has oil, gas and coal use at respectively 88%, 93%, and 62% of their current levels. Shell describes this as a “rapid energy transition.” Hardly. (See graph)
How can such a future be aligned with the Paris goals? The answer is that it’s not.
The Paris goals are to keep warming “well below” 2°C, and to pursue efforts to keep warming to 1.5°C. This reflects an updated scientific understanding that 2°C, the previous goal, should itself be considered dangerous. Even at 2°C, the risk of runaway climate change becomes significant.
A UNFCCC review in the months leading up to the Paris summit stated that 2°C should not be seen as a safe target, but should “be better
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